4 Comments

In the last cell (last row, last column), the result is -100%. With a 45% win-ratio & 2:1 profit/loss ratio, how did you arrive at -100% conclusion?

Does it have something to do with compounded nature of the bets? I feel I am missing something.

Expand full comment
author

Yes

ROI = (1+gain%)^wins * (1-loss%)^losses

= 2^45 * .5^55 - 1

Does that clarify?

Expand full comment
Jun 13·edited Jun 13Liked by Ahmad Jivraj

Yes, that clarifies it. Thank you for the quick response.

Lovely article. Thank you for sharing.

Expand full comment
author

Thanks

Expand full comment