Why Nintendo is an Interesting Asset
inspired by Crossroads Capital
“We bought 5% of the Walt Disney Company in 1966. It cost us $4 million dollars. $80 million bucks was the valuation of the whole thing. 300 and some acres in Anaheim. The Pirates ride had just been put in. It cost $17 million bucks. The whole company was selling for $80 million. Mary Poppins had just come out. Mary Poppins made about $30 million that year, and seven years later you’re going to show it to kids the same age. It’s like having an oil well where all the oil seeps back in…“
In 1966 they had 220 pictures of one sort or another. They wrote them all down to zero – there were no residual values placed on the value of any Disney picture up through the 60s. So you got this for $80 million bucks, and you got Walt Disney to work for you. It was incredible. You didn’t have to be a genius to know that the Walt Disney company was worth more than $80 million. $17 million for the Pirates ride. It’s unbelievable. But there it was. And the reason was, in 1966 people said, ‘Well, Mary Poppins is terrific this year, but they’re not going to have another Mary Poppins next year, so the earnings will be down.’ I don’t care if the earnings are down like that. You know you’ve still got Mary Poppins to throw out in seven more years… I mean there’s no better system than to have something where, essentially, you get a new crop every seven years and you get to charge more each time…
I went out to see Walt Disney (he’d never heard of me; I was 35 years old). We sat down and he told me the whole plan for the company – he couldn’t have been a nicer guy. It was a joke. If he’d privately gone to some huge venture capitalist, or some major American corporation, if he’d been a private company, and said ‘I want you to buy into this’…they would have bought in based on a valuation of $300 or $400 million dollars.”
-- Warren Buffet
The idea of owning a unique asset that doesn’t depreciate and has a high probability of generating streams of future cash flows is quite powerful. If you can buy this asset for less than what a private buyer would pay, then it is even more compelling.
Nintendo may be one such asset.
Nintendo owns Mario, which could arguably be the most successful video game character ever. Similarly, Super Mario Brothers, could arguably be the most successful video-game franchise of all time. It doesn’t end there. Nintendo is the publisher of 20 of the top 25 all-time games, including hits such as Mario Kart, Super Mario Brothers, Legend of Zelda, the Pokémon series, etc.
Nintendo’s games and their characters are intellectual property that can be leveraged in new and interesting ways for years to come. This IP really can be like an oil well that doesn’t dry up.
Next, we’ll discuss why Nintendo may be an interesting investment prospect: